Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 51.8% vs Suzuki 50.6% (+1.6%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 50.3%
Defensive zone
Duchene 50.0%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 56.5%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Duchene
Suzuki
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (366)
51.3% (945)
-0.2%
Power Play
61.5% (65)
50.7% (282)
+10.8%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
40.3% (67)
-23.6%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Duchene is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (165).
Duchene shoots left. Suzuki is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Home / Away
Duchene
Suzuki
Home
51.7% (201)
51.0% (637)
Away
52.5% (236)
50.2% (657)
By Period
Duchene
Suzuki
P1
49.0%
53.1%
P2
57.1%
47.4%
P3
49.2%
51.3%
OT
60.0%
48.6%
Final 5 min
51.9%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.6%