Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 51.8% vs Hischier 55.4% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 61.1%
Defensive zone
Hischier 60.2%
Neutral zone
Hischier 54.7%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Duchene
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Duchene
Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
0
Duchene
Hischier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
1
Duchene
Hischier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
1
Duchene
Hischier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (366)
55.5% (1,172)
-4.4%
Power Play
61.5% (65)
64.5% (265)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
43.9% (164)
-27.2%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +27.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Duchene is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Duchene shoots left. Hischier is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,026).
Home / Away
Duchene
Hischier
Home
51.7% (201)
56.8% (791)
Away
52.5% (236)
54.8% (810)
By Period
Duchene
Hischier
P1
49.0%
56.0%
P2
57.1%
58.6%
P3
49.2%
53.5%
OT
60.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.9%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 17:45 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 11:06 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 03:13 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 04:12 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |