Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 18 meetings). Duchene wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 54.1% vs Hischier 52.7% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 21-19 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 51.2%
Defensive zone
Hischier 57.9%
Neutral zone
Hischier 50.1%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Duchene
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
21
(40 meetings)
19
21
Duchene
Hischier
Last 10: Duchene 3-7 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
8
3
Duchene
Hischier
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
4
14
Duchene
Hischier
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
7
4
Duchene
Hischier
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (10,438)
51.6% (8,444)
+2.3%
Power Play
57.0% (1,677)
59.9% (1,749)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (468)
49.3% (918)
-0.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,089).
Duchene shoots left. Hischier is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,097).
Home / Away
Duchene
Hischier
Home
55.6% (6,430)
53.0% (5,477)
Away
52.7% (6,177)
52.4% (5,634)
By Period
Duchene
Hischier
P1
54.4%
52.9%
P2
54.5%
52.6%
P3
53.4%
52.7%
OT
56.3%
50.6%
Final 5 min
53.7%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
54.2%
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 17:45 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 11:06 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 03:13 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 04:12 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 11:56 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 02:25 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:35 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 18:26 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 18:22 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 14:38 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 14:30 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 09:26 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 05:29 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 02:40 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 00:29 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 12:48 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 12:40 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 08:02 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 04:12 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 03:57 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |