Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Duchene wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 54.1% vs Lindholm 48.8% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 51.1%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 91.5%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 74.1%
Result
Par Lindholm favored at 71.2%
28.8%
71.2%
Duchene
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Duchene
Lindholm
Last 8: Duchene 2-6 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
1
Duchene
Lindholm
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
3
Duchene
Lindholm
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
2
Duchene
Lindholm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (10,438)
49.6% (510)
+4.3%
Power Play
57.0% (1,677)
50.0% (12)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (468)
45.5% (178)
+3.6%
On power play, Duchene has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,089).
Duchene shoots left. Lindholm is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (453).
Home / Away
Duchene
Lindholm
Home
55.6% (6,430)
49.4% (346)
Away
52.7% (6,177)
47.7% (354)
By Period
Duchene
Lindholm
P1
54.4%
42.2%
P2
54.5%
51.0%
P3
53.4%
51.9%
Final 5 min
53.7%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
54.2%
Lindholm
42.0%▼
45.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2020 | 3 | 10:19 | Defensive | Par Lindholm |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 3 | 10:15 | Defensive | Par Lindholm |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 3 | 02:35 | Offensive | Par Lindholm |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 1 | 05:25 | Defensive | Par Lindholm |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 2 | 13:53 | Neutral | Par Lindholm |
| Feb 6, 2019 | 2 | 08:37 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 3 | 12:25 | Neutral | Par Lindholm |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 3 | 12:11 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |