Scouting Report
Patrick Brown holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Brown shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.8% vs Brown 56.8% (-4.4%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 91.7%
Defensive zone
Brown 90.5%
Neutral zone
Brown 59.3%
Result
Patrick Brown favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Duchene
Brown
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (162)
61.3% (336)
-14.4%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
50.0% (4)
+23.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
45.9% (74)
+54.1%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +54.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Duchene is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Duchene shoots left. Brown is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Home / Away
Duchene
Brown
Home
58.4% (125)
61.1% (180)
Away
48.4% (95)
56.4% (234)
By Period
Duchene
Brown
P1
56.9%
57.5%
P2
52.5%
58.5%
P3
51.9%
59.2%
OT
80.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
61.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
54.1%
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
58.5%