Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +16.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Duchene wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kane shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 54.1% vs Kane 39.3% (+16.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 77.2%
Defensive zone
Duchene 96.2%
Neutral zone
Duchene 90.9%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 81.1%
81.1%
18.9%
Duchene
Kane
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Duchene
Kane
Last 7: Duchene 5-2 Kane
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
4
1
Duchene
Kane
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Duchene
Kane
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Kane
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (10,438)
38.0% (669)
+15.9%
Power Play
57.0% (1,677)
34.0% (97)
+23.0%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (468)
71.4% (7)
-22.3%
On power play, Duchene has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kane shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,089).
Duchene shoots left. Kane is 39.8% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Home / Away
Duchene
Kane
Home
55.6% (6,430)
39.1% (384)
Away
52.7% (6,177)
36.7% (392)
By Period
Duchene
Kane
P1
54.4%
41.9%
P2
54.5%
33.5%
P3
53.4%
38.8%
OT
56.3%
30.4%
Final 5 min
53.7%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
54.2%
Kane
38.0%▲
27.0%
37.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2016 | 1 | 14:11 | Offensive | Patrick Kane |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 3 | 08:42 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 3 | 01:55 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 1 | 11:06 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 3 | 08:19 | Neutral | Patrick Kane |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 1 | 10:57 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 1 | 00:59 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |