Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 51.8% vs Danault 54.5% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 73.8%
Defensive zone
Danault 72.7%
Neutral zone
Danault 55.2%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Duchene
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Duchene
Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Danault
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
Duchene
Danault
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (366)
56.2% (745)
-5.1%
Power Play
61.5% (65)
45.1% (51)
+16.4%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
51.6% (124)
-34.9%
On penalty kill, Danault has a +34.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Duchene is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Duchene shoots left. Danault is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
Duchene
Danault
Home
51.7% (201)
56.7% (402)
Away
52.5% (236)
53.7% (518)
By Period
Duchene
Danault
P1
49.0%
55.5%
P2
57.1%
54.2%
P3
49.2%
55.2%
OT
60.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
51.9%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
Danault
50.0%▼
54.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | 3 | 10:58 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 12:30 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |