Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.8% vs Nash 51.7% (+2.0%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 86.1%
Defensive zone
Nash 86.9%
Neutral zone
Nash 55.9%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Duchene
Nash
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (162)
54.1% (292)
-7.2%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
57.1% (7)
+16.1%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
45.9% (98)
+54.1%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +54.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Duchene is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Duchene shoots left. Nash is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Duchene
Nash
Home
58.4% (125)
56.3% (183)
Away
48.4% (95)
48.6% (214)
By Period
Duchene
Nash
P1
56.9%
58.9%
P2
52.5%
51.0%
P3
51.9%
46.5%
OT
80.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
54.1%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
52.1%