Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 51.8% vs Bennett 48.2% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 70.9%
Defensive zone
Duchene 69.5%
Neutral zone
Duchene 66.1%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 70.9%
70.9%
29.1%
Duchene
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Duchene
Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
0
Duchene
Bennett
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (366)
46.4% (811)
+4.7%
Power Play
61.5% (65)
56.9% (153)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
47.8% (46)
-31.1%
On penalty kill, Bennett has a +31.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Duchene is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Duchene shoots left. Bennett is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (679).
Home / Away
Duchene
Bennett
Home
51.7% (201)
49.9% (553)
Away
52.5% (236)
45.7% (457)
By Period
Duchene
Bennett
P1
49.0%
47.4%
P2
57.1%
46.8%
P3
49.2%
48.9%
OT
60.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 01:18 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 15:25 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |