Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +14.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 51.8% vs Reinhart 42.9% (+14.1%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 63.5%
Defensive zone
Duchene 52.7%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 52.4%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Duchene
Reinhart
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (366)
39.0% (77)
+12.1%
Power Play
61.5% (65)
35.4% (48)
+26.1%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
40.9% (22)
-24.2%
On power play, Duchene has a +26.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Duchene is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (165).
Duchene shoots left. Reinhart is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Duchene
Reinhart
Home
51.7% (201)
35.7% (84)
Away
52.5% (236)
41.3% (63)
By Period
Duchene
Reinhart
P1
49.0%
42.6%
P2
57.1%
34.7%
P3
49.2%
37.3%
Final 5 min
51.9%
28.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
38.1%