Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on neutral-zone draws (58% H2H, 12 meetings). Duchene wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 54.1% vs Laughton 50.4% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 16-14 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 78.8%
Defensive zone
Laughton 54.9%
Neutral zone
Duchene 59.9%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Duchene
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
14
(30 meetings)
16
14
Duchene
Laughton
Last 10: Duchene 5-5 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Duchene
Laughton
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
5
5
Duchene
Laughton
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
7
5
Duchene
Laughton
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (10,438)
50.8% (5,416)
+3.1%
Power Play
57.0% (1,677)
53.0% (330)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (468)
46.7% (892)
+2.4%
On power play, Duchene has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,089).
Duchene shoots left. Laughton is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,362).
Home / Away
Duchene
Laughton
Home
55.6% (6,430)
51.2% (3,267)
Away
52.7% (6,177)
49.6% (3,371)
By Period
Duchene
Laughton
P1
54.4%
49.3%
P2
54.5%
53.0%
P3
53.4%
49.0%
OT
56.3%
39.6%
Final 5 min
53.7%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
54.2%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 09:29 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 16:39 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 01:36 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 12:42 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 12:36 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 19:00 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 21, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 08:34 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 11:00 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 07:54 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 11:17 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 3 | 09:52 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 3 | 01:27 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 2 | 07:31 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 2 | 01:25 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 2 | 01:20 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 1 | 18:13 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 1 | 18:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |