Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 51.8% vs Crosby 55.4% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 55.4%
Defensive zone
Duchene 62.7%
Neutral zone
Duchene 55.1%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Duchene
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Duchene
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Duchene
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (366)
53.6% (1,008)
-2.5%
Power Play
61.5% (65)
65.0% (246)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
60.0% (15)
-43.3%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +43.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Duchene is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Duchene shoots left. Crosby is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (896).
Home / Away
Duchene
Crosby
Home
51.7% (201)
56.9% (675)
Away
52.5% (236)
54.7% (594)
By Period
Duchene
Crosby
P1
49.0%
55.6%
P2
57.1%
53.3%
P3
49.2%
58.7%
OT
60.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
51.9%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
Crosby
62.0%▲
53.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 2 | 11:27 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |