Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.8% vs Johnson 53.6% (-6.7%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 76.6%
Defensive zone
Johnson 73.3%
Neutral zone
Johnson 55.3%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Duchene
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (162)
61.9% (42)
-15.0%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
55.6% (9)
+17.6%
On power play, Duchene has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Duchene is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Duchene shoots left. Johnson is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (34).
Home / Away
Duchene
Johnson
Home
58.4% (125)
52.0% (25)
Away
48.4% (95)
69.2% (26)
By Period
Duchene
Johnson
P1
56.9%
72.0%
P2
52.5%
66.7%
P3
51.9%
27.3%
Final 5 min
52.8%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
54.1%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
60.8%