Matt Duchene vs Tyler Seguin

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Tyler Seguin holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Duchene 51.8% vs Seguin 52.5% (-1.4%)
Offensive zone Duchene 68.2%
Defensive zone Seguin 66.0%
Neutral zone Duchene 50.5%
Result Matt Duchene favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Duchene Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Duchene
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (366)
53.2% (201)
-2.1%
Power Play
61.5% (65)
60.0% (25)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
44.4% (9)
-27.7%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +27.7% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Duchene is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (165).
Duchene shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Duchene
Seguin
Home
51.7% (201)
56.3% (126)
Away
52.5% (236)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Duchene
Seguin
P1
49.0%
44.3%
P2
57.1%
52.1%
P3
49.2%
62.5%
OT
60.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
50.9%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
56.0%
51.0%
52.2%
Seguin
42.0%
54.0%
53.6%