Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 51.8% vs Trocheck 56.2% (-4.7%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 66.0%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 60.0%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 51.1%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Duchene
Trocheck
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (366)
58.0% (666)
-6.9%
Power Play
61.5% (65)
64.8% (165)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
43.4% (152)
-26.7%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Duchene is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (165).
Duchene shoots left. Trocheck is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Home / Away
Duchene
Trocheck
Home
51.7% (201)
55.3% (436)
Away
52.5% (236)
58.1% (547)
By Period
Duchene
Trocheck
P1
49.0%
56.4%
P2
57.1%
58.7%
P3
49.2%
55.5%
OT
60.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
51.9%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
Trocheck
62.0%▲
55.5%
56.9%