Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 51.8% vs Gourde 46.0% (+6.7%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 78.0%
Defensive zone
Gourde 72.0%
Neutral zone
Gourde 59.6%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Duchene
Gourde
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (366)
47.2% (687)
+3.9%
Power Play
61.5% (65)
45.0% (20)
+16.5%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
33.0% (88)
-16.3%
On power play, Duchene has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Duchene is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Duchene shoots left. Gourde is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (522).
Home / Away
Duchene
Gourde
Home
51.7% (201)
44.4% (356)
Away
52.5% (236)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Duchene
Gourde
P1
49.0%
42.2%
P2
57.1%
50.0%
P3
49.2%
44.5%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%