Matt Ellis vs Nicklas Backstrom
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Ellis on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ellis 46.8% vs Backstrom 50.5% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Ellis leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Backstrom 83.2%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 55.0%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 59.3%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 67.8%
32.2%
67.8%
Ellis
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Ellis
Backstrom
Last 10: Ellis 6-4 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ellis
3
2
Ellis
Backstrom
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ellis
3
1
Ellis
Backstrom
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
2
Ellis
Backstrom
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ellis
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (607)
50.4% (11,581)
-3.1%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
52.3% (1,895)
-23.7%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (95)
47.0% (889)
-4.9%
On power play, Backstrom has a +23.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Ellis is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Ellis shoots left. Backstrom is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (8,966).
Home / Away
Ellis
Backstrom
Home
48.5% (303)
52.6% (7,223)
Away
44.8% (406)
48.4% (7,173)
By Period
Ellis
Backstrom
P1
50.0%
50.1%
P2
46.2%
49.7%
P3
41.3%
51.6%
OT
100.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
42.4%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ellis
42.0%▼
49.0%
46.4%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2015 | 3 | 07:59 | Defensive | Matt Ellis |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 3 | 02:43 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 1 | 15:35 | Offensive | Matt Ellis |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 3 | 04:01 | Defensive | Matt Ellis |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 2 | 12:54 | Offensive | Matt Ellis |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 2 | 12:42 | Offensive | Matt Ellis |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 2 | 08:54 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 30, 2011 | 1 | 17:22 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 1 | 15:50 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 3 | 03:46 | Defensive | Matt Ellis |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 3 | 05:28 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 1 | 10:34 | Neutral | Matt Ellis |