Scouting Report
Matt Read holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Read wins 37.5% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Read 42.2% vs Buchnevich 36.0% (+6.1%)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 52.9%
Defensive zone
Buchnevich 55.1%
Neutral zone
Buchnevich 54.1%
Result
Pavel Buchnevich favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Read
Buchnevich
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Read
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (395)
34.5% (931)
+7.5%
Power Play
41.5% (41)
44.2% (52)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (87)
24.3% (37)
+9.0%
On penalty kill, Read has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Read is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Read shoots right. Buchnevich is 36.8% vs right-shot opponents (348).
Home / Away
Read
Buchnevich
Home
42.8% (250)
35.6% (517)
Away
38.8% (276)
33.6% (503)
By Period
Read
Buchnevich
P1
42.5%
35.2%
P2
41.5%
34.8%
P3
38.1%
33.4%
OT
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
37.7%
38.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Read
44.0%▲
39.5%
40.7%
Buchnevich
48.0%▲
41.0%
34.6%