Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Read on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Read wins 46.5% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Read 42.2% vs Stamkos 51.1% (-10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 93.4%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 88.8%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 86.7%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 88.9%
11.1%
88.9%
Read
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Read
Stamkos
Last 8: Read 6-2 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Read
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Read
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Read
4
0
Read
Stamkos
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Read
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (395)
50.5% (9,825)
-8.5%
Power Play
41.5% (41)
55.2% (1,729)
-13.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (87)
49.6% (827)
-16.3%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Read is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (185).
Read shoots right. Stamkos is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (3,601).
Home / Away
Read
Stamkos
Home
42.8% (250)
52.8% (6,270)
Away
38.8% (276)
49.3% (6,137)
By Period
Read
Stamkos
P1
42.5%
49.2%
P2
41.5%
52.7%
P3
38.1%
50.9%
OT
44.4%
54.3%
Final 5 min
37.7%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Read
44.0%▲
39.5%
40.7%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2014 | 1 | 04:59 | Neutral | Matt Read |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 3 | 01:09 | Neutral | Matt Read |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 3 | 07:00 | Neutral | Matt Read |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 3 | 04:22 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 2 | 01:50 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 1 | 14:58 | Offensive | Matt Read |
| Nov 9, 2011 | OT | 01:12 | Neutral | Matt Read |
| Nov 9, 2011 | 3 | 02:22 | Defensive | Matt Read |