Matt Stajan vs Mikhail Grigorenko
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 49.4% vs Grigorenko 46.8% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Grigorenko 65.1%
Defensive zone
Stajan 71.6%
Neutral zone
Stajan 52.0%
Result
Mikhail Grigorenko favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Stajan
Grigorenko
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Stajan
Grigorenko
Last 6: Stajan 3-3 Grigorenko
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grigorenko
0
2
Stajan
Grigorenko
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
3
1
Stajan
Grigorenko
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Grigorenko
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (4,944)
45.3% (1,033)
+4.9%
Power Play
43.2% (176)
56.0% (50)
-12.8%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (864)
58.5% (65)
-12.4%
On power play, Grigorenko has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grigorenko shoots left. Stajan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,964).
Stajan shoots left. Grigorenko is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (723).
Home / Away
Stajan
Grigorenko
Home
51.3% (3,098)
51.1% (567)
Away
47.3% (2,892)
42.0% (581)
By Period
Stajan
Grigorenko
P1
50.3%
43.8%
P2
48.5%
47.1%
P3
49.4%
48.7%
OT
53.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.9%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Grigorenko
54.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2017 | 3 | 10:14 | Offensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 01:33 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 3 | 07:34 | Neutral | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 2 | 04:08 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 2 | 01:20 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 1 | 18:25 | Offensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |