Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.4% vs 49.2%). Look for Zacha on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 49.4% vs Zacha 49.2% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 71.3%
Defensive zone
Stajan 69.2%
Neutral zone
Stajan 53.4%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Stajan
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Stajan
Zacha
Last 6: Stajan 3-3 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
1
0
Stajan
Zacha
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
3
Stajan
Zacha
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (4,944)
48.9% (5,156)
+1.3%
Power Play
43.2% (176)
55.7% (813)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (864)
42.2% (557)
+3.9%
On power play, Zacha has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Stajan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,964).
Stajan shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,965).
Home / Away
Stajan
Zacha
Home
51.3% (3,098)
49.7% (3,381)
Away
47.3% (2,892)
48.6% (3,145)
By Period
Stajan
Zacha
P1
50.3%
49.9%
P2
48.5%
49.2%
P3
49.4%
48.2%
OT
53.3%
53.5%
Final 5 min
49.9%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2018 | 3 | 08:36 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 5, 2017 | 3 | 11:39 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 5, 2017 | 1 | 06:04 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 5, 2017 | 1 | 06:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 5, 2017 | 1 | 01:34 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 3, 2017 | 1 | 18:15 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |