Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 49.4% vs Carpenter 48.5% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stajan 60.6%
Defensive zone
Stajan 65.0%
Neutral zone
Stajan 55.6%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 59.6%
59.6%
40.4%
Stajan
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Stajan
Carpenter
Last 5: Stajan 4-1 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
3
1
Stajan
Carpenter
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
1
0
Stajan
Carpenter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (4,944)
49.6% (2,027)
+0.6%
Power Play
43.2% (176)
41.5% (41)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (864)
43.9% (467)
+2.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Stajan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,026).
Stajan shoots left. Carpenter is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,840).
Home / Away
Stajan
Carpenter
Home
51.3% (3,098)
51.2% (1,290)
Away
47.3% (2,892)
45.5% (1,245)
By Period
Stajan
Carpenter
P1
50.3%
49.6%
P2
48.5%
47.7%
P3
49.4%
48.0%
OT
53.3%
55.6%
Final 5 min
49.9%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2018 | 3 | 01:48 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 2 | 13:12 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 3 | 19:45 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 21, 2018 | 3 | 15:46 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 21, 2018 | 1 | 16:04 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |