Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 49.4% vs Strome 44.6% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 55.0%
Defensive zone
Stajan 87.8%
Neutral zone
Stajan 78.1%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Stajan
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Stajan
Strome
Last 6: Stajan 4-2 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
2
Stajan
Strome
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
1
0
Stajan
Strome
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
2
0
Stajan
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (4,944)
44.2% (6,887)
+6.0%
Power Play
43.2% (176)
49.2% (855)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (864)
41.5% (410)
+4.6%
On even strength, Stajan has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Stajan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,026).
Stajan shoots left. Strome is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,773).
Home / Away
Stajan
Strome
Home
51.3% (3,098)
44.4% (4,077)
Away
47.3% (2,892)
44.8% (4,075)
By Period
Stajan
Strome
P1
50.3%
43.9%
P2
48.5%
45.4%
P3
49.4%
44.4%
OT
53.3%
46.3%
Final 5 min
49.9%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 06:42 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 01:52 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 07:26 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 4, 2017 | 3 | 19:01 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 4, 2017 | 2 | 07:16 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 2 | 02:51 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |