Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kalinin on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 49.4% vs Kalinin 43.0% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kalinin 76.0%
Defensive zone
Kalinin 54.6%
Neutral zone
Kalinin 63.7%
Result
Sergey Kalinin favored at 62.7%
37.3%
62.7%
Stajan
Kalinin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Stajan
Kalinin
Last 6: Stajan 2-4 Kalinin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kalinin
0
1
Stajan
Kalinin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stajan
Kalinin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kalinin
1
2
Stajan
Kalinin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Kalinin
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (4,944)
41.9% (453)
+8.3%
Power Play
43.2% (176)
33.3% (18)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (864)
40.0% (25)
+6.1%
On power play, Stajan has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kalinin shoots left. Stajan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,964).
Stajan shoots left. Kalinin is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Stajan
Kalinin
Home
51.3% (3,098)
42.8% (285)
Away
47.3% (2,892)
39.8% (211)
By Period
Stajan
Kalinin
P1
50.3%
43.8%
P2
48.5%
40.6%
P3
49.4%
40.1%
Final 5 min
49.9%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Kalinin
44.0%▲
40.5%
41.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2017 | 3 | 13:05 | Neutral | Sergey Kalinin |
| Feb 3, 2017 | 3 | 10:13 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 3, 2017 | 3 | 02:05 | Neutral | Sergey Kalinin |
| Feb 3, 2017 | 2 | 06:42 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 3, 2017 | 1 | 01:49 | Defensive | Sergey Kalinin |
| Jan 19, 2016 | 1 | 16:02 | Offensive | Sergey Kalinin |