Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.4% vs 48.6%). Look for Stajan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 49.4% vs Smith 48.7% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stajan 53.2%
Defensive zone
Stajan 67.6%
Neutral zone
Stajan 62.9%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
Stajan
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Stajan
Smith
Last 7: Stajan 6-1 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
1
0
Stajan
Smith
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
3
0
Stajan
Smith
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
2
1
Stajan
Smith
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (4,944)
49.0% (769)
+1.2%
Power Play
43.2% (176)
63.6% (22)
-20.4%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (864)
42.4% (118)
+3.7%
On power play, Smith has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Stajan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,964).
Stajan shoots left. Smith is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Home / Away
Stajan
Smith
Home
51.3% (3,098)
52.4% (490)
Away
47.3% (2,892)
44.0% (420)
By Period
Stajan
Smith
P1
50.3%
46.9%
P2
48.5%
51.2%
P3
49.4%
47.7%
OT
53.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.9%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Smith
46.0%▼
52.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2015 | 2 | 11:55 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 13, 2015 | 1 | 14:38 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 3 | 03:48 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 2 | 09:52 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 1 | 07:13 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 1 | 04:32 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 1 | 02:27 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |