Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lombardi wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lombardi 48.0% vs Koivu 51.8% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Lombardi 77.8%
Defensive zone
Koivu 61.3%
Neutral zone
Lombardi 56.7%
Result
Matthew Lombardi favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Lombardi
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Lombardi
Koivu
Last 10: Lombardi 4-6 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lombardi
2
1
Lombardi
Koivu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
3
Lombardi
Koivu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lombardi
Koivu
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lombardi
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (489)
51.9% (3,221)
-2.6%
Power Play
39.6% (48)
59.3% (437)
-19.7%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (33)
48.0% (764)
-11.6%
On power play, Koivu has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Lombardi is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (374).
Lombardi shoots left. Koivu is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,153).
Home / Away
Lombardi
Koivu
Home
47.4% (304)
53.5% (2,281)
Away
47.9% (267)
50.1% (2,209)
By Period
Lombardi
Koivu
P1
49.0%
51.1%
P2
49.5%
52.6%
P3
44.0%
51.8%
OT
33.3%
52.3%
Final 5 min
48.3%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lombardi
46.0%▲
43.0%
47.6%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2013 | 2 | 17:44 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 3 | 11:50 | Offensive | Matthew Lombardi |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 2 | 07:26 | Offensive | Matthew Lombardi |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 1 | 10:48 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 3 | 12:39 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 3 | 05:50 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 2 | 14:52 | Neutral | Matthew Lombardi |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 2 | 04:43 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 2 | 00:48 | Neutral | Matthew Lombardi |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 1 | 11:05 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |