Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Peca wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Peca 50.2% vs Monahan 51.2% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 75.1%
Defensive zone
Peca 52.1%
Neutral zone
Monahan 57.1%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
Peca
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Peca
Monahan
Last 6: Peca 4-2 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Peca
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Peca
2
0
Peca
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Peca
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Peca
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (423)
51.1% (11,407)
+0.4%
Power Play
12.5% (8)
53.6% (2,582)
-41.1%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (43)
45.9% (772)
-1.7%
On power play, Monahan has a +41.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Peca is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Peca shoots left. Monahan is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (9,335).
Home / Away
Peca
Monahan
Home
46.1% (193)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
53.0% (281)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Peca
Monahan
P1
56.6%
51.0%
P2
44.4%
51.7%
P3
50.3%
51.0%
OT
0.0%
53.5%
Final 5 min
48.4%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Peca
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.2%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2018 | 2 | 14:03 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 3 | 13:52 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 3 | 06:22 | Neutral | Matthew Peca |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 1 | 19:30 | Offensive | Matthew Peca |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 1 | 19:19 | Defensive | Matthew Peca |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 1 | 09:39 | Defensive | Matthew Peca |