Scouting Report
Matthew Peca holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Peca wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Ostapchuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Peca 50.2% vs Ostapchuk 48.7% (+1.7%)
Offensive zone
Ostapchuk 52.2%
Defensive zone
Ostapchuk 51.0%
Neutral zone
Ostapchuk 50.2%
Result
Zack Ostapchuk favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Peca
Ostapchuk
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Peca
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (423)
49.1% (632)
+2.4%
Power Play
12.5% (8)
28.6% (7)
-16.1%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (43)
45.5% (66)
-1.3%
On power play, Ostapchuk has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Peca is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Peca shoots left. Ostapchuk is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Home / Away
Peca
Ostapchuk
Home
46.1% (193)
48.6% (329)
Away
53.0% (281)
48.4% (376)
By Period
Peca
Ostapchuk
P1
56.6%
48.5%
P2
44.4%
46.4%
P3
50.3%
50.7%
Final 5 min
48.4%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Peca
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.2%
Ostapchuk
52.0%▲
50.5%
48.5%