Matthew Poitras vs Mika Zibanejad
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Poitras wins 41.7% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poitras 45.3% vs Zibanejad 49.9% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poitras 81.9%
Defensive zone
Poitras 70.5%
Neutral zone
Poitras 73.7%
Result
Matthew Poitras favored at 75.7%
75.7%
24.3%
Poitras
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Poitras
Zibanejad
Last 5: Poitras 1-4 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Poitras
Zibanejad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
Poitras
Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Poitras
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poitras
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (378)
50.8% (11,540)
-7.1%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
52.2% (1,848)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
41.3% (1,766)
+25.4%
On penalty kill, Poitras has a +25.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Poitras is 41.7% vs right-shot opponents (115).
Poitras shoots right. Zibanejad is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,628).
Home / Away
Poitras
Zibanejad
Home
43.6% (195)
51.6% (7,444)
Away
44.6% (195)
48.3% (7,711)
By Period
Poitras
Zibanejad
P1
41.2%
50.4%
P2
46.0%
49.7%
P3
45.0%
49.8%
Final 5 min
39.6%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poitras
40.0%▼
45.0%
44.1%
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 10:37 | Offensive | Matthew Poitras |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 14:05 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 17:41 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 17:36 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 11:30 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |