Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Poitras wins 41.5% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poitras 45.3% vs Suzuki 49.4% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poitras 77.8%
Defensive zone
Poitras 74.4%
Neutral zone
Poitras 75.4%
Result
Matthew Poitras favored at 75.7%
75.7%
24.3%
Poitras
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Poitras
Suzuki
Last 9: Poitras 1-8 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
2
Poitras
Suzuki
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
2
Poitras
Suzuki
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
4
Poitras
Suzuki
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poitras
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (388)
49.4% (6,368)
-5.8%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
50.8% (1,355)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
44.0% (466)
+22.7%
On penalty kill, Poitras has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Poitras is 41.5% vs right-shot opponents (118).
Poitras shoots right. Suzuki is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,221).
Home / Away
Poitras
Suzuki
Home
43.6% (195)
51.1% (4,031)
Away
44.7% (206)
47.7% (4,158)
By Period
Poitras
Suzuki
P1
42.6%
48.9%
P2
45.5%
49.1%
P3
44.1%
50.3%
Final 5 min
41.2%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poitras
42.0%▼
44.5%
44.1%
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 02:19 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 13:09 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 12:54 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 05:51 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 05:39 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 18:06 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 01:06 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 01:27 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 10:05 | Neutral | Matthew Poitras |