Matthew Poitras vs Sean Monahan
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Poitras on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Poitras wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poitras 45.3% vs Monahan 51.2% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 61.1%
Defensive zone
Monahan 63.6%
Neutral zone
Monahan 64.9%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 63.9%
36.1%
63.9%
Poitras
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Poitras
Monahan
Last 5: Poitras 3-2 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poitras
1
0
Poitras
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Poitras
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poitras
2
1
Poitras
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poitras
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (388)
51.1% (11,407)
-7.5%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
53.6% (2,582)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
45.9% (772)
+20.8%
On penalty kill, Poitras has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Poitras is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (283).
Poitras shoots right. Monahan is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,426).
Home / Away
Poitras
Monahan
Home
43.6% (195)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
44.7% (206)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Poitras
Monahan
P1
42.6%
51.0%
P2
45.5%
51.7%
P3
44.1%
51.0%
Final 5 min
41.2%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poitras
42.0%▼
44.5%
44.1%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 10:40 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 01:26 | Neutral | Matthew Poitras |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 05:41 | Offensive | Matthew Poitras |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 05:33 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 05:18 | Neutral | Matthew Poitras |