Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Wood wins 37.3% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wood 44.4% vs Monahan 51.2% (-10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wood 81.1%
Defensive zone
Wood 70.4%
Neutral zone
Wood 75.7%
Result
Matthew Wood favored at 74.5%
74.5%
25.5%
Wood
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Wood
Monahan
Last 9: Wood 2-7 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Wood
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
3
Wood
Monahan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Wood
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wood
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (139)
51.1% (11,407)
-10.1%
Power Play
38.5% (13)
53.6% (2,582)
-15.1%
On power play, Monahan has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Wood is 37.3% vs left-shot opponents (118).
Wood shoots right. Monahan is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,426).
Home / Away
Wood
Monahan
Home
39.7% (73)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
41.8% (79)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Wood
Monahan
P1
43.9%
51.0%
P2
47.7%
51.7%
P3
28.6%
51.0%
OT
100.0%
53.5%
Final 5 min
54.5%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wood
32.0%▼
40.8%
40.8%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 17:03 | Defensive | Matthew Wood |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 14:12 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 12:25 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 07:21 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 02:24 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 14:23 | Neutral | Matthew Wood |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 10:46 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 10:38 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 10:15 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |