Mattias Janmark vs Nathan MacKinnon

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Nathan MacKinnon holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Janmark 47.9% vs MacKinnon 51.0% (-14.3%)
Offensive zone MacKinnon 63.9%
Defensive zone MacKinnon 54.8%
Neutral zone MacKinnon 57.6%
Result Nathan MacKinnon favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Janmark MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Janmark
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (19)
49.7% (1,038)
-12.9%
On even strength, MacKinnon has a +12.9% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Janmark is 0.0% vs right-shot opponents (6).
Janmark shoots left. MacKinnon is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (886).
Home / Away
Janmark
MacKinnon
Home
41.7% (12)
53.1% (618)
Away
28.6% (7)
49.1% (609)
By Period
Janmark
MacKinnon
P1
16.7%
49.3%
P2
45.5%
53.0%
P3
50.0%
50.7%
Final 5 min
66.7%
56.7%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Janmark
34.0%
39.0%
36.8%
MacKinnon
44.0%
50.5%
51.1%