Scouting Report
Matty Beniers holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 45.9% vs Beniers 47.6% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 74.8%
Defensive zone
Beniers 57.6%
Neutral zone
Beniers 59.3%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 63.9%
36.1%
63.9%
McBain
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
McBain
Beniers
Last 6: McBain 4-2 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
2
0
McBain
Beniers
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McBain
Beniers
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McBain
Beniers
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (568)
47.3% (945)
-1.0%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
51.7% (145)
-14.2%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (74)
23.8% (21)
+14.0%
On power play, Beniers has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. McBain is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (441).
McBain shoots left. Beniers is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (718).
Home / Away
McBain
Beniers
Home
50.6% (330)
49.6% (565)
Away
39.7% (320)
45.2% (546)
By Period
McBain
Beniers
P1
45.4%
48.0%
P2
44.5%
49.0%
P3
45.7%
46.5%
Final 5 min
48.0%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
52.0%▲
49.5%
45.2%
Beniers
64.0%▲
51.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2024 | 2 | 05:53 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 03:59 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 15:45 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 04:30 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 04:21 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 01:11 | Defensive | Jack McBain |