Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.6% vs 46.5%). Look for McBain on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 46.7% vs Beniers 46.6% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
McBain leads 13-12 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Beniers 65.5%
Defensive zone
McBain 61.4%
Neutral zone
McBain 52.3%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
McBain
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
12
(25 meetings)
13
12
McBain
Beniers
Last 10: McBain 4-6 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
5
4
McBain
Beniers
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
4
2
McBain
Beniers
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
4
6
McBain
Beniers
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (2,322)
46.5% (3,825)
+1.6%
Power Play
44.6% (56)
47.8% (360)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (309)
41.4% (111)
-5.8%
On penalty kill, Beniers has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. McBain is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,692).
McBain shoots left. Beniers is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,839).
Home / Away
McBain
Beniers
Home
49.1% (1,379)
48.9% (2,195)
Away
44.0% (1,308)
44.0% (2,101)
By Period
McBain
Beniers
P1
47.1%
47.2%
P2
47.4%
47.0%
P3
45.4%
45.7%
OT
37.5%
34.8%
Final 5 min
49.0%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.6%
Beniers
32.0%▼
47.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 13:18 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 3 | 13:57 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 17:27 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 1 | 18:47 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 2 | 12:39 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 2 | 06:29 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 3 | 07:22 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 2 | 19:01 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 1 | 18:57 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 2 | 05:53 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 03:59 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 15:45 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 04:30 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 04:21 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 01:11 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 14:36 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 09:33 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 09:10 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 00:28 | Neutral | Jack McBain |