Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Beniers wins 43.9% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 48.8% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 84.8%
Defensive zone
Beniers 71.4%
Neutral zone
Beniers 74.6%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 75.2%
75.2%
24.8%
Beniers
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
8
(8 meetings)
0
8
Beniers
Zibanejad
Last 8: Beniers 0-8 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
Beniers
Zibanejad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
5
Beniers
Zibanejad
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Beniers
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (862)
53.3% (807)
-5.0%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
47.6% (42)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
46.3% (147)
+3.7%
On power play, Beniers has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Beniers is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Beniers shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Home / Away
Beniers
Zibanejad
Home
52.4% (460)
49.8% (466)
Away
45.1% (470)
54.0% (530)
By Period
Beniers
Zibanejad
P1
47.5%
52.9%
P2
50.6%
51.2%
P3
47.6%
51.7%
OT
62.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
32.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 16:21 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 16:02 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 05:21 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 00:36 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 11:40 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 10:46 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 08:52 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 19:49 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |