Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 48.8% vs Backlund 49.8% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Beniers 81.0%
Defensive zone
Backlund 70.8%
Neutral zone
Beniers 51.7%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Beniers
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
10
(18 meetings)
8
10
Beniers
Backlund
Last 10: Beniers 3-7 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
3
2
Beniers
Backlund
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Beniers
Backlund
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
5
Beniers
Backlund
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (862)
50.5% (944)
-2.2%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
51.5% (66)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
47.1% (297)
+2.9%
On power play, Beniers has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Beniers is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (634).
Beniers shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Home / Away
Beniers
Backlund
Home
52.4% (460)
48.1% (636)
Away
45.1% (470)
51.4% (671)
By Period
Beniers
Backlund
P1
47.5%
45.4%
P2
50.6%
54.1%
P3
47.6%
49.2%
OT
62.5%
55.6%
Final 5 min
45.1%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
32.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2026 | 3 | 04:53 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 3 | 01:57 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 18:39 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 11:05 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 03:20 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 1 | 09:07 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 1 | 06:33 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 1 | 00:13 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 15:18 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 12:51 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 10:14 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 07:52 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:54 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:43 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 15:13 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 06:34 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 04:56 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |