Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Beniers wins 44.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 46.6% vs Bjugstad 49.0% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 17-10 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Beniers 68.1%
Defensive zone
Beniers 56.9%
Neutral zone
Beniers 59.4%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 62.5%
62.5%
37.5%
Beniers
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
17
(27 meetings)
10
17
Beniers
Bjugstad
Last 10: Beniers 3-7 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
7
4
Beniers
Bjugstad
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
5
Beniers
Bjugstad
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
3
8
Beniers
Bjugstad
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (3,825)
48.6% (6,646)
-2.1%
Power Play
47.8% (360)
55.2% (829)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (111)
44.3% (614)
-2.9%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Beniers is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,457).
Beniers shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,753).
Home / Away
Beniers
Bjugstad
Home
48.9% (2,195)
49.8% (4,023)
Away
44.0% (2,101)
48.1% (4,066)
By Period
Beniers
Bjugstad
P1
47.2%
48.9%
P2
47.0%
49.1%
P3
45.7%
48.5%
OT
34.8%
61.3%
Final 5 min
46.1%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
32.0%▼
47.0%
46.5%
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2024 | 3 | 18:12 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 2 | 09:33 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 22, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 3 | 13:14 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 3 | 11:27 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 3 | 08:08 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 3 | 02:49 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 2 | 07:34 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 1 | 16:19 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 1 | 10:06 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 1 | 03:06 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 1 | 02:52 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 09:37 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 02:11 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 01:58 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 19:04 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 16:47 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |