Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Beniers wins 43.9% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 48.8% vs Suzuki 50.6% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 56.5%
Defensive zone
Beniers 72.5%
Neutral zone
Beniers 59.1%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
Beniers
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Beniers
Suzuki
Last 6: Beniers 2-4 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
2
Beniers
Suzuki
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
1
Beniers
Suzuki
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
2
1
Beniers
Suzuki
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (862)
51.3% (945)
-3.0%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
50.7% (282)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
40.3% (67)
+9.7%
On penalty kill, Beniers has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Beniers is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Beniers shoots left. Suzuki is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Home / Away
Beniers
Suzuki
Home
52.4% (460)
51.0% (637)
Away
45.1% (470)
50.2% (657)
By Period
Beniers
Suzuki
P1
47.5%
53.1%
P2
50.6%
47.4%
P3
47.6%
51.3%
OT
62.5%
48.6%
Final 5 min
45.1%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
32.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 13:20 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 10:25 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 14, 2025 | OT | 03:16 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 08:03 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 07:56 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 19:47 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |