Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.7% vs 48.5%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 48.8% vs Colton 49.2% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colton 57.9%
Defensive zone
Beniers 51.4%
Neutral zone
Colton 53.6%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Beniers
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Beniers
Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
0
Beniers
Colton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
0
Beniers
Colton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
0
Beniers
Colton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (862)
47.3% (91)
+1.0%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
71.4% (7)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Beniers has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Beniers is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (634).
Beniers shoots left. Colton is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (59).
Home / Away
Beniers
Colton
Home
52.4% (460)
46.9% (49)
Away
45.1% (470)
50.0% (50)
By Period
Beniers
Colton
P1
47.5%
56.4%
P2
50.6%
47.1%
P3
47.6%
38.5%
Final 5 min
45.1%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
32.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Colton
46.0%▲
44.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 11:03 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 09:16 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 06:32 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |