Scouting Report
Matty Beniers holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Beniers wins 43.9% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 48.8% vs Hartman 45.6% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 62.6%
Defensive zone
Beniers 55.0%
Neutral zone
Beniers 52.6%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Beniers
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Beniers
Hartman
Last 5: Beniers 3-2 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
0
Beniers
Hartman
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
0
Beniers
Hartman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
2
Beniers
Hartman
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (862)
45.1% (874)
+3.2%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
47.4% (95)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
37.5% (16)
+12.5%
On penalty kill, Beniers has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Beniers is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Beniers shoots left. Hartman is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Beniers
Hartman
Home
52.4% (460)
45.0% (515)
Away
45.1% (470)
45.3% (470)
By Period
Beniers
Hartman
P1
47.5%
47.3%
P2
50.6%
40.1%
P3
47.6%
48.3%
OT
62.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
32.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 00:20 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 15:31 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 12:24 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 01:30 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |