Scouting Report
Matty Beniers holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 48.8% vs McLeod 47.4% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 65.1%
Defensive zone
McLeod 64.4%
Neutral zone
McLeod 51.6%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Beniers
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Beniers
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
2
0
Beniers
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Beniers
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (862)
49.0% (827)
-0.7%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
44.0% (91)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
43.0% (272)
+7.0%
On power play, Beniers has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Beniers is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (634).
Beniers shoots left. McLeod is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (775).
Home / Away
Beniers
McLeod
Home
52.4% (460)
48.5% (619)
Away
45.1% (470)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Beniers
McLeod
P1
47.5%
52.7%
P2
50.6%
43.9%
P3
47.6%
45.8%
OT
62.5%
35.7%
Final 5 min
45.1%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
32.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 08:32 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 12:18 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 03:33 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 00:31 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |