Matty Beniers vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matty Beniers holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 48.8% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 53.2%
Defensive zone
Beniers 61.0%
Neutral zone
Beniers 51.4%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Beniers
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Beniers
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 5: Beniers 3-2 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
2
0
Beniers
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Beniers
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Beniers
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (862)
46.0% (250)
+2.3%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
70.6% (17)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
31.8% (22)
+18.2%
On penalty kill, Beniers has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Beniers is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (634).
Beniers shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
Beniers
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
52.4% (460)
50.3% (175)
Away
45.1% (470)
40.4% (114)
By Period
Beniers
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
47.5%
48.5%
P2
50.6%
45.9%
P3
47.6%
46.5%
OT
62.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
32.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 19:33 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 17:01 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 07:55 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 14:35 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 19:53 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |