Matty Beniers vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matty Beniers holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on defensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 46.6% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Nugent-Hopkins leads 22-19 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 51.6%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 51.9%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 51.6%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Beniers
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
22
(41 meetings)
19
22
Beniers
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Beniers 5-5 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
9
9
Beniers
Nugent-Hopkins
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
6
8
Beniers
Nugent-Hopkins
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
4
5
Beniers
Nugent-Hopkins
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (3,825)
44.8% (8,775)
+1.7%
Power Play
47.8% (360)
50.6% (844)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (111)
37.8% (880)
+3.6%
On penalty kill, Beniers has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Beniers is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,839).
Beniers shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,858).
Home / Away
Beniers
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
48.9% (2,195)
46.5% (5,361)
Away
44.0% (2,101)
42.8% (5,150)
By Period
Beniers
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
47.2%
45.1%
P2
47.0%
43.9%
P3
45.7%
45.2%
OT
34.8%
43.2%
Final 5 min
46.1%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
32.0%▼
47.0%
46.5%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 19:33 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 17:01 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 07:55 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 14:35 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 19:53 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 04:53 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 04:50 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 17:56 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 15:54 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 13:27 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 10:50 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 13:55 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 11:32 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 04:01 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 19:14 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 19:04 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 18:38 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 17:57 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 15:49 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 04:18 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |