Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 48.8% vs Steel 50.6% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 51.0%
Defensive zone
Steel 61.2%
Neutral zone
Steel 60.6%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Beniers
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Beniers
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
0
Beniers
Steel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
0
Beniers
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (862)
52.5% (200)
-4.2%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
71.4% (7)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
40.0% (45)
+10.0%
On power play, Steel has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Beniers is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (634).
Beniers shoots left. Steel is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Beniers
Steel
Home
52.4% (460)
49.5% (109)
Away
45.1% (470)
51.7% (143)
By Period
Beniers
Steel
P1
47.5%
49.5%
P2
50.6%
47.5%
P3
47.6%
56.6%
OT
62.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
32.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 03:35 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:40 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |