Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 46.6% vs Monahan 51.2% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 14-11 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Beniers 60.7%
Defensive zone
Beniers 66.3%
Neutral zone
Beniers 62.4%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Beniers
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
14
(25 meetings)
11
14
Beniers
Monahan
Last 10: Beniers 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
6
2
Beniers
Monahan
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
7
Beniers
Monahan
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
3
5
Beniers
Monahan
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (3,825)
51.1% (11,407)
-4.6%
Power Play
47.8% (360)
53.6% (2,582)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (111)
45.9% (772)
-4.5%
On power play, Monahan has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Beniers is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,839).
Beniers shoots left. Monahan is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (9,335).
Home / Away
Beniers
Monahan
Home
48.9% (2,195)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
44.0% (2,101)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Beniers
Monahan
P1
47.2%
51.0%
P2
47.0%
51.7%
P3
45.7%
51.0%
OT
34.8%
53.5%
Final 5 min
46.1%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
32.0%▼
47.0%
46.5%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 15:42 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 08:23 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 18:22 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 19:18 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 12:26 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3 | 18:24 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3 | 15:21 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3 | 10:20 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3 | 06:51 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 17:38 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 14:20 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 14:13 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 11:05 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 10:59 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 19:07 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 1 | 19:54 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 3 | 07:42 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 3 | 05:20 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 2 | 18:58 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 1 | 04:55 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |