Matty Beniers vs William Karlsson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 48.8% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 67.9%
Defensive zone
Beniers 56.6%
Neutral zone
Beniers 63.9%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Beniers
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Beniers
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Beniers
Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Beniers
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (862)
58.5% (135)
-10.2%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
80.0% (5)
-21.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
44.4% (18)
+5.6%
On power play, Karlsson has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Beniers is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (634).
Beniers shoots left. Karlsson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Beniers
Karlsson
Home
52.4% (460)
63.7% (91)
Away
45.1% (470)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Beniers
Karlsson
P1
47.5%
54.4%
P2
50.6%
66.7%
P3
47.6%
51.9%
OT
62.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
32.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 04:21 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 04:11 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 09:28 | Defensive | William Karlsson |