Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.7% vs 47.8%). Look for Beniers on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Beniers wins 43.9% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 48.8% vs Johnston 48.0% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Beniers leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Beniers 56.2%
Defensive zone
Beniers 52.3%
Neutral zone
Beniers 50.2%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Beniers
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Beniers
Johnston
Last 10: Beniers 6-4 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Beniers
Johnston
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Beniers
Johnston
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
3
2
Beniers
Johnston
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (862)
47.3% (666)
+1.0%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
50.7% (69)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
51.4% (35)
-1.4%
On power play, Beniers has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Beniers is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Beniers shoots left. Johnston is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Beniers
Johnston
Home
52.4% (460)
47.5% (364)
Away
45.1% (470)
48.0% (406)
By Period
Beniers
Johnston
P1
47.5%
49.4%
P2
50.6%
46.9%
P3
47.6%
47.1%
OT
62.5%
47.1%
Final 5 min
45.1%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
32.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Johnston
40.0%▼
49.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 00:45 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 11:45 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 08:14 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 19:43 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 09:06 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 10:24 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 03:15 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 03:09 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |