Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.6% vs 46.2%). Bourque wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Suter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bourque 46.2% vs Suter 46.3% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suter 61.0%
Defensive zone
Bourque 56.3%
Neutral zone
Suter 50.2%
Result
Pius Suter favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Bourque
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Bourque
Suter
Last 7: Bourque 3-4 Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Bourque
Suter
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suter
0
1
Bourque
Suter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Bourque
Suter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bourque
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (513)
46.2% (3,223)
+0.4%
Power Play
26.1% (23)
53.0% (281)
-26.9%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (28)
40.1% (307)
+2.8%
On power play, Suter has a +26.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Bourque is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (425).
Bourque shoots right. Suter is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,406).
Home / Away
Bourque
Suter
Home
47.1% (263)
46.7% (1,823)
Away
44.2% (301)
45.7% (1,988)
By Period
Bourque
Suter
P1
42.7%
46.6%
P2
42.8%
46.0%
P3
50.2%
46.0%
OT
0.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
52.0%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bourque
48.0%▲
46.5%
45.6%
Suter
40.0%▼
48.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 06:30 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 12:35 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 04:31 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 01:38 | Offensive | Mavrik Bourque |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 3 | 04:04 | Neutral | Mavrik Bourque |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 1 | 18:43 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 1 | 05:48 | Offensive | Mavrik Bourque |