Scouting Report
Mavrik Bourque holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bourque 46.2% vs Hyman 44.9% (+1.4%)
Offensive zone
Bourque 52.0%
Defensive zone
Hyman 63.8%
Neutral zone
Hyman 51.1%
Result
Zach Hyman favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Bourque
Hyman
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bourque
Hyman
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (513)
45.4% (271)
+1.2%
Power Play
26.1% (23)
33.3% (15)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (28)
43.9% (485)
-1.0%
On power play, Hyman has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hyman shoots right. Bourque is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (139).
Bourque shoots right. Hyman is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Bourque
Hyman
Home
47.1% (263)
49.9% (365)
Away
44.2% (301)
39.2% (406)
By Period
Bourque
Hyman
P1
42.7%
44.1%
P2
42.8%
40.6%
P3
50.2%
49.1%
OT
0.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
52.0%
38.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bourque
48.0%▲
46.5%
45.6%
Hyman
44.0%▲
42.0%
44.2%